Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = MA Ephmen Coach = George McCGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.3670349 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Babson NEWMAC (16- 4, 96.0) 14-13 306 H Union Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 96.0) 11-12 309 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 15-14 316 H Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 10-13 320 A RPI Liberty Leagu (17- 3, 97.6) 8-16 323 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.5) 17-11 327 A Christopher Newport CLC (16- 6, 96.9) 18-12 330 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 24- 8 402 H Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 15-17 406 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 4-12 410 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 12- 9 413 A Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 98.2) 6-14 416 A MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 90.7) 14-12 420 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.8) 12- 7 424 A Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 10- 9 427 A Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 98.2) 4-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Babson 14-13 1 0 0.97 306 H Union 11-12 -1 0 -1.05 309 A Bates 15-14 1 4 - -3.34 316 H Wesleyan 10-13 -3 -1 -1.64 320 A RPI 8-16 -8 -2 -- -4.06 323 A Trinity 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.86 327 A Christopher Newport 18-12 6 -2 +++ 8.22 330 H Connecticut College 24- 8 16 5 1.93 402 H Tufts 15-17 -2 -3 1.85 406 A Amherst 4-12 -8 -2 -- -4.86 410 H Hamilton 12- 9 3 1 1.74 413 A Bowdoin 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.47 416 A MIT 14-12 2 3 -1.92 420 H Colby 12- 7 5 4 0.74 424 A Middlebury 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.55 427 A Bowdoin 4-14 -10 -3 - -3.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A RPI 8-16 -8 -2 -- -4.06 406 A Amherst 4-12 -8 -2 -- -4.86 309 A Bates 15-14 1 4 - -3.34 413 A Bowdoin 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.47 427 A Bowdoin 4-14 -10 -3 - -3.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Christopher Newport 18-12 6 -2 +++ 8.22 323 A Trinity 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.86 424 A Middlebury 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.55
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.35 Power Rank................. 17 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 89.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6987 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 18 RPI Rating............... .6037 RPI Rank................... 32 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 15 Selection sum ........... 82 Selection Rank ............ 26 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 17 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 32 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3