Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Ephmen ------ Coach = George McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6245270 home-field advantage = -0.53 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Babson NEWMAC (14- 6, 91.5) 9- 7 305 A Union Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 91.4) 12-10 308 H Bates NESCAC ( 9- 7, 92.4) 10-11 315 A Wesleyan NESCAC (13- 6, 96.1) 11-22 319 H RPI Liberty Leagu (16- 4, 95.6) 9-14 322 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.7) 9-13 326 A Christopher Newport CLC (18- 4, 95.3) 11-12 329 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.1) 14- 5 402 A Tufts NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 4-15 405 H Amherst NESCAC (11- 6, 94.7) 9- 6 409 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 92.6) 10-14 412 H Bowdoin NESCAC (16- 4, 97.5) 8-19 415 H MIT NEWMAC ( 7- 8, 89.5) 20- 9 419 A Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 88.9) 15-13 423 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 9, 94.1) 12-11 426 A Tufts NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 11-20 510 N RPI Liberty Leagu (16- 4, 95.6) 10-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Babson 9- 7 2 0 1.33 305 A Union 12-10 2 0 1.26 308 H Bates 10-11 -1 0 -1.78 315 A Wesleyan 11-22 -11 -4 - -3.00 319 H RPI 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.61 322 H Trinity 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.51 326 A Christopher Newport 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.13 329 A Connecticut College 14- 5 9 0 +++ 6.00 402 A Tufts 4-15 -11 -7 0.00 405 H Amherst 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.50 409 A Hamilton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.57 412 H Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -4 - -2.69 415 H MIT 20- 9 11 3 + 3.37 419 A Colby 15-13 2 3 -1.27 423 H Middlebury 12-11 1 0 1.92 426 A Tufts 11-20 -9 -7 0.00 510 N RPI 10-14 -4 -2 -1.08UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Trinity 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.51 315 A Wesleyan 11-22 -11 -4 - -3.00 319 H RPI 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.61 409 A Hamilton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.57 412 H Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -4 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Connecticut College 14- 5 9 0 +++ 6.00 405 H Amherst 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.50 326 A Christopher Newport 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.13 415 H MIT 20- 9 11 3 + 3.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.65 Power Rank................. 18 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.92 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7311 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 12 RPI Rating............... .5749 RPI Rank................... 47 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 233 Selection sum ........... 141 Selection Rank ............ 42 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 42 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 82 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0