Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Ephmen ------ Coach = George McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.1184540 home-field advantage = -0.54 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 9, 91.1) 11-13 304 H Union Liberty Leagu ( 8-12, 91.8) 10- 8 307 H Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 88.5) 18-10 310 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 87.0) 15- 9 314 A Bowdoin NESCAC (19- 2, 96.9) 7-17 318 A RPI Liberty Leagu ( 9- 8, 89.3) 10-11 321 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 89.6) 12- 8 324 A Salisbury CLC (17- 4, 93.7) 14-10 328 A Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 94.2) 12-13 401 H Tufts NESCAC (21- 1, 99.9) 12-26 408 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.1) 9-10 411 A Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 92.6) 9-10 414 A MIT NEWMAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 14-13 418 H Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 5, 95.0) 9-17 422 A Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 8, 93.7) 8- 7 425 A Bowdoin NESCAC (19- 2, 96.9) 4-22 509 N St John Fisher Empire 8 (17- 3, 92.1) 6- 5 510 A Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 5, 95.0) 10-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Trinity 11-13 -2 0 - -2.47 304 H Union 10- 8 2 0 1.16 307 H Colby 18-10 8 4 + 2.84 310 H Vassar 15- 9 6 5 0.39 314 A Bowdoin 7-17 -10 -5 -1.65 318 A RPI 10-11 -1 2 - -3.23 321 H Connecticut College 12- 8 4 3 0.96 324 A Salisbury 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.12 328 A Bates 12-13 -1 -2 1.59 401 H Tufts 12-26 -14 -7 0.00 408 H Hamilton 9-10 -1 0 -1.52 411 A Amherst 9-10 -1 -1 0.03 414 A MIT 14-13 1 2 -1.51 418 H Wesleyan 9-17 -8 -2 -- -4.63 422 A Middlebury 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.15 425 A Bowdoin 4-22 -18 -5 -1.65 509 N St John Fisher 6- 5 1 0 1.00 510 A Wesleyan 10-14 -4 -3 -0.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Wesleyan 9-17 -8 -2 -- -4.63 228 A Trinity 11-13 -2 0 - -2.47 318 A RPI 10-11 -1 2 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Salisbury 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.12 307 H Colby 18-10 8 4 + 2.84 422 A Middlebury 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.15
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.12 Power Rank................. 18 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.94 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7187 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 11 RPI Rating............... .5698 RPI Rank................... 49 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 234 Selection sum ........... 142 Selection Rank ............ 37 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 48 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 82 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -7.0